Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.005141 0.005684 0.006246 0.006871 0.007544 0.008247 0.009036
2024-12-22 0.004333 0.005114 0.005964 0.006954 0.008071 0.009289 0.010711
2024-12-29 0.003900 0.004825 0.005869 0.007125 0.008586 0.010225 0.012192
2025-01-05 0.003582 0.004613 0.005810 0.007291 0.009058 0.011086 0.013573
2025-01-12 0.003159 0.004229 0.005507 0.007128 0.009109 0.011431 0.014334
2025-01-19 0.002863 0.003969 0.005324 0.007083 0.009278 0.011897 0.015228
2025-01-26 0.002580 0.003700 0.005107 0.006972 0.009345 0.012226 0.015948
2025-02-02 0.002371 0.003508 0.004971 0.006948 0.009508 0.012665 0.016798
2025-02-09 0.002181 0.003328 0.004834 0.006910 0.009643 0.013061 0.017595
2025-02-16 0.002084 0.003264 0.004846 0.007061 0.010017 0.013760 0.018780
2025-02-23 0.001914 0.003089 0.004694 0.006982 0.010084 0.014062 0.019458
2025-03-02 0.001790 0.002968 0.004610 0.006987 0.010256 0.014497 0.020309
2025-03-09 0.001743 0.002961 0.004688 0.007225 0.010754 0.015381 0.021779
2025-03-16 0.001651 0.002882 0.004660 0.007312 0.011050 0.016004 0.022920
2025-03-23 0.001594 0.002851 0.004697 0.007489 0.011470 0.016797 0.024296
2025-03-30 0.001541 0.002821 0.004733 0.007662 0.011886 0.017589 0.025682
2025-04-06 0.001400 0.002643 0.004539 0.007493 0.011811 0.017710 0.026162
2025-04-13 0.001303 0.002529 0.004433 0.007446 0.011906 0.018060 0.026955
2025-04-20 0.001197 0.002392 0.004286 0.007330 0.011894 0.018258 0.027539
2025-04-27 0.001120 0.002299 0.004203 0.007305 0.012011 0.018635 0.028371
2025-05-04 0.001046 0.002206 0.004113 0.007266 0.012103 0.018975 0.029155
2025-05-11 0.001016 0.002191 0.004149 0.007422 0.012488 0.019737 0.030538
2025-05-18 0.000942 0.002090 0.004038 0.007341 0.012512 0.019979 0.031190